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J.P. Morgan

Global FX Strategy 2026

LIVE25 November 2025USD bearish
Back to Currencies

USD/CNY

Moderately bullish lean on CNY FX. USD/CNH has traveled broadly lower throughout

Moderately Bullish

JPM Forecast Path

Cross-Firm Forecast Comparison

Key Drivers

PBoC guidance
Domestic optimism
US-China trade stability
REER correction

All Firm Targets (Dec '26)

JPMModerately Bullish7.05
GSBullish6.90
INGModerately Bullish6.90
MUFGModerately Bullish6.90
BARCModerately Bullish6.90
BofABullish6.85
MSBullish6.80
DBBullish6.75

Analysis Summary

Moderately bullish lean on CNY FX. USD/CNH has traveled broadly lower throughout the year. PBoC guidance towards managed nominal appreciation in the yuan. Bullish risks for CNY FX especially relative to non-USD pairs.

FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE

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