FX BANK FORECAST · METHODOLOGY
How we compile institutional consensus
Transparency on sources, refresh cadence, and the editorial discipline behind every figure on this site.
Coverage
We aggregate the annual FX strategy publications of nine major institutional research desks. Coverage is updated as new outlooks are published, typically once per quarter per firm.
- J.P. Morgan
- Goldman Sachs
- Morgan Stanley
- Bank of America
- Barclays
- Deutsche Bank
- MUFG
- ING
Sources
| Data Type | Provider | Cadence |
|---|---|---|
| FX spot rates | OANDA v20 | Real-time |
| FX spot fallback | Yahoo Finance | Real-time |
| FX spot fallback 2 | Frankfurter ECB | Daily |
| Economic calendar | Financial Modeling Prep | 6 hours |
| CFTC positioning | CFTC Public Reporting | Weekly (Tue) |
| Gold spot | Yahoo Finance (GC=F) | Real-time |
| Bank forecasts | Hand-curated from PDFs | Quarterly |
Bank forecasts are taken verbatim from each firm’s published year-end FX outlook (report dates and lead analysts shown on each firm’s coverage page). EOY actuals used in the accuracy scorecard are spot closes from market data providers; no forecast has been adjusted or interpolated after publication. Each firm row in the accuracy leaderboard links directly to that bank’s public FX research landing page.
Aggregation method
The consensus DXY target is the unweighted mean of available firm targets. Disagreement spread is the difference between the highest and lowest target across firms. We do not weight by firm AUM, balance-sheet size, or historical accuracy — every covered desk receives equal weight in the aggregate.
Quality controls
Three independent mechanisms guard data freshness and accuracy:
Staleness detection
A scheduled monitor flags any firm whose published outlook is more than 30 days old. Stale entries are surfaced in the internal dashboard pending human review.
Inbound PDF review
Forwarded research is parsed by AI to surface candidate forecast figures. Every change requires human pull-request approval before merging into the live data layer.
Structured data markup
JSON-LD Dataset schema is embedded on key pages so that Google Dataset Search can index and surface the underlying data independently of the interface layer.
What we don’t do
Equally important for credibility:
- We do not provide trade signals or investment advice.
- We do not republish copyrighted bank research verbatim — only aggregate forecast figures, which are factual data points.
- We do not weight, score, or rank firms — every firm's view is presented equally.
Refresh commitments
Contact
For corrections or coverage requests, please write to coverage@fxbankforecast.com.
FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE
Institutional FX coverage in your inbox
Aggregated year-end forecasts, scenario shifts, and curated analyst notes from eight institutional desks. No promotion.