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FX BankForecast
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J.P. Morgan

Global FX Strategy 2026

LIVE25 November 2025USD bearish
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USD/PLN

OW PLN and long PLNCZK. NBP approaching end of cutting cycle. Terminal policy ra

Bullish

JPM Forecast Path

Cross-Firm Forecast Comparison

Key Drivers

End of cutting cycle
Inflation convergence
Rate spreads widening
Regional growth

All Firm Targets (Dec '26)

JPMBullish3.38
INGBullish3.38
GS3.35
BARCBullish3.35
MUFG3.32
MS3.30
BofABullish3.28
DBBullish3.25

Analysis Summary

OW PLN and long PLNCZK. NBP approaching end of cutting cycle. Terminal policy rate pricing already at 3.70. Peak inflation convergence between Poland and Czechia marks turning point for both crosses.