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ING

2026 FX Outlook

LIVE10 November 2025USD bearish
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USD/MXN

MXN remains well-supported by attractive carry, nearshoring tailwinds, and impro

Bullish

ING Forecast Path

Cross-Firm Forecast Comparison

Key Drivers

Attractive carry
Nearshoring investment
Banxico gradual easing
USMCA stability

All Firm Targets (Dec '26)

JPMBullish18.25
INGBullish17.80
BARCModerately Bullish17.70
GSBullish17.50
MUFGBullish17.50
MSBullish17.40
BofABullish17.30
DBBullish17.20

Analysis Summary

MXN remains well-supported by attractive carry, nearshoring tailwinds, and improving trade dynamics. We see USD/MXN drifting lower through 2026, with the peso one of the best-performing EM currencies.

FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE

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Aggregated year-end forecasts, scenario shifts, and curated analyst notes from eight institutional desks. No promotion.