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ING

2026 FX Outlook

LIVE10 November 2025USD bearish
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USD/ZAR

ZAR benefits from commodity support, improved fiscal governance under the GNU co

Bullish

ING Forecast Path

Cross-Firm Forecast Comparison

Key Drivers

Commodity terms of trade
GNU coalition reforms
Carry appeal
Load-shedding improvement

All Firm Targets (Dec '26)

INGBullish16.25
JPMBullish16.25
BARCBullish16.10
GSBullish16.00
MUFGBullish16.00
BofABullish15.80
MSBullish15.75
DBStrongly Bullish15.50

Analysis Summary

ZAR benefits from commodity support, improved fiscal governance under the GNU coalition, and attractive carry. USD/ZAR to trend lower as global risk appetite remains supportive.