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ING

2026 FX Outlook

LIVE10 November 2025USD bearish
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NZD/USD

NZD should recover alongside AUD as the RBNZ pauses its easing cycle and growth

Bullish

ING Forecast Path

Cross-Firm Forecast Comparison

Key Drivers

RBNZ pause expected
Growth recovery
Dairy prices supportive
Undervalued

All Firm Targets (Dec '26)

INGBullish0.6200
DBModerately Bullish0.6200
MSNeutral to Slightly Bullish0.6100
GSModerately Bullish0.6000
MUFGNeutral to Slightly Bullish0.6000
BofANeutral0.6000
JPMNeutral0.5900
BARCNeutral0.5900

Analysis Summary

NZD should recover alongside AUD as the RBNZ pauses its easing cycle and growth rebounds. While not as compelling as AUD given lower yields, NZD offers significant upside from deeply oversold levels.