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Deutsche Bank

FX Blueprint 2026: The Great Rotation

LIVE12 December 2025USD bearish
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USD/TRY

TRY managed depreciation continues. Carry attractive but spot will weaken. Total

Neutral

DB Forecast Path

Cross-Firm Forecast Comparison

Key Drivers

Managed depreciation
Carry appeal
CBRT policy
Inflation deceleration
Authorities' commitment

All Firm Targets (Dec '26)

JPMBullish53.50
DBNeutral52.50
MS52.00
MUFG52.00
BARCBullish51.50
BofANeutral51.00
ING50.50
GS50.00

Analysis Summary

TRY managed depreciation continues. Carry attractive but spot will weaken. Total return still positive via options carry.