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Deutsche Bank

FX Blueprint 2026: The Great Rotation

LIVE12 December 2025USD bearish
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USD/PLN

PLN benefits from EU fund inflows, NBP near terminal, and strong growth linkage

Bullish

DB Forecast Path

Cross-Firm Forecast Comparison

Key Drivers

EU fund inflows
German fiscal linkage
NBP near terminal
Strong growth
Inflation convergence

All Firm Targets (Dec '26)

JPMBullish3.38
INGBullish3.38
GS3.35
BARCBullish3.35
MUFG3.32
MS3.30
BofABullish3.28
DBBullish3.25

Analysis Summary

PLN benefits from EU fund inflows, NBP near terminal, and strong growth linkage to German fiscal expansion. Top CEE pick.