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Deutsche Bank

FX Blueprint 2026: The Great Rotation

LIVE12 December 2025USD bearish
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USD/CNY

CNY set to appreciate as PBoC allows managed strengthening and capital inflows a

Bullish

DB Forecast Path

Cross-Firm Forecast Comparison

Key Drivers

PBoC managed appreciation
Capital inflows
Trade surplus
Domestic recovery
Portfolio rebalancing

All Firm Targets (Dec '26)

JPMModerately Bullish7.05
GSBullish6.90
INGModerately Bullish6.90
MUFGModerately Bullish6.90
BARCBullish6.90
BofABullish6.85
MSBullish6.80
DBBullish6.75

Analysis Summary

CNY set to appreciate as PBoC allows managed strengthening and capital inflows accelerate. USD/CNY to 6.75 as part of the broader Asia re-rating theme.