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Barclays

FX Outlook 2026: Navigating the Turn

LIVE28 November 2025USD bearish
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USD/KRW

KRW to appreciate on WGBI inflows and tech cycle recovery. NPS hedging dynamics

Moderately Bullish

BARC Forecast Path

Cross-Firm Forecast Comparison

Key Drivers

WGBI inflows
Tech cycle recovery
NPS hedging
Local equity flows

All Firm Targets (Dec '26)

JPMNeutral1440.00
INGModerately Bullish1400.00
BARCModerately Bullish1390.00
MUFGModerately Bullish1385.00
GSBullish1380.00
BofABullish1370.00
MSBullish1360.00
DBBullish1350.00

Analysis Summary

KRW to appreciate on WGBI inflows and tech cycle recovery. NPS hedging dynamics shifting favorably. Disconnect between FX weakness and equity strength to resolve with KRW appreciation.