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Barclays

FX Outlook 2026: Navigating the Turn

LIVE28 November 2025USD bearish
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USD/PLN

PLN supported by EU fund inflows, NBP near terminal, and German fiscal linkage.

Bullish

BARC Forecast Path

Cross-Firm Forecast Comparison

Key Drivers

EU fund inflows
NBP near terminal
German fiscal link
Growth resilience
Inflation convergence

All Firm Targets (Dec '26)

JPMBullish3.38
INGBullish3.38
BARCBullish3.35
GS3.35
MUFG3.32
MS3.30
BofABullish3.28
DBBullish3.25

Analysis Summary

PLN supported by EU fund inflows, NBP near terminal, and German fiscal linkage. Strong CEE pick.

FX BANK FORECAST · COVERAGE

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